|
Neal;
Is this the chart you are referring to, in your explanation below.
Another question - why does one chart say '230 of 230' precincts, and the
lower chart says '227 of 227' precincts ?
How many precincts are there in Boulder County ??
Bye, Peter Richards
Boulder County,
Colorado Unofficial Results for
Election - 11/5/2004 7:18:07 PM
On Mon, 8 Nov 2004 16:10:56 -0700 Neal McBurnett <neal@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
writes:
> > >BTW - looks like we had an 87% plus turn out of the 176,140 > registered > > >voters. Pretty cool, if it is real. > > Argh. These numbers are all hopelessly misleading. You need to > know > that registered voters that haven't voted recently become > "inactive", > but remain eligible to vote for several more years. (I can't find > the official rules on that right now - can someone help?) > > The number that appears on the Boulder County results page > http://www.co.boulder.co.us/clerk/elect/2004%20General/Frame.htm > > that says "Total Registered Voters" is nothing of the kind. > It is really "active registered voters". The county says they > report this because it is required by law. > > 1-10-105. Official abstract of votes cast - certification by > secretary of state > > ... The abstract shall contain the following information: ... > > (c) The reconciled total number of active, registered voters in > each > county on election day, as determined by the county clerk and > recorders no later than forty-five days after the election; > > (d) Based on the total number of active, registered voters, the > percent of voter turnout in each county; and > > (e) Any other information that the secretary of state determines > would be interesting or useful to the electorate or other elected > officials. > > That is why a turnout larger than 100% can happen, if lots of > inactive voters actually turn out. > > They clarify that there are so many inactive registered voters > (typically folks that have moved - including tons of students in > Boulder) that using that number would be misleading. > > But they don't explain why they mislabel it as "registered voters". > Nor why they don't include information on the turnout of registered > voters. Nor what I think would be most informative - the turnout > of > the eligible voting age population. > > If you process the data at > > http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0781453.html > > you'll find that from 1964 to 2000, the turnout of registered > voters > in the US dropped from 96% to 68%. But since the proportion of the > voting-age population that is registered has risen from 65% to 76%, > the turnout of voting-age population has only dropped from 62% to > 51%. > > The turnout was higher this year, so in the US, more than half of > eligible voters voted. I still want to know what fraction voted in > Boulder County. > > Neal McBurnett http://bcn.boulder.co.us/~neal/ > Signed and/or sealed mail encouraged. GPG/PGP Keyid: 2C9EBA60 > > On Mon, Nov 08, 2004 at 03:15:19PM -0700, Ralph Shnelvar wrote: > > >BTW - looks like we had an 87% plus turn out of the 176,140 > registered > > >voters. Pretty cool, if it is real. > > > > That's not cool. It's beyond suspicious. > > > > The national average was just under 60%. > > > > To me this indicates near certainty of massive ballot box > stuffing. > > |